Calculated Risk: Tuesday: CPI

by Calculated risk on 9/12/2022 08:44:00 PM

From Matthew Graham in the Daily Mortgage News: Rising Rates; Deep Dive into Mortgages vs. 10-Year Treasury Rates and Federal Funds

Mortgage rates have moved slightly higher today, but only after a slight dip earlier this morning. [30 year fixed 5.98%]
Confirmations added

Tuesday:
• 6:00 a.m. ET, NFIB Small Business Optimism Index for the month of August.

• 8:30 am Consumer Price Index for the month of August from BLS. The consensus is for a 0.1% decrease in the CPI and a 0.3% increase in the core CPI. The consensus is for the CPI to rise 8.1% y/y and core CPI to rise 6.1% y/y.

On COVID (focus on hospitalization and mortality):

COVID metrics
Currently week
Ago
Goal
New cases per day2 60185 83,434 50001
in the hospital2 26145 30503 ≤ 30001
daily deaths2 328 394 ≤501
1My goals are to stop daily posts,
27 days average for cases, current patients, and deaths
🚩 An average increase of 7 days per week in cases, hospital stays, and deaths

✅ The goal has been achieved.


COVID-19 deaths per dayClick on the chart for a larger picture.

This graph shows the daily average (the bars) and the 7-day average (the line) of reported deaths.

Average daily deaths fell to the lowest level in July 2021 at 214 cases per day.

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