Four high-frequency indicators of economics

These pointers are mostly for travel and leisure. It has been interesting to watch these sectors recover as the impact of the pandemic subsides.

—– Airlines: Transportation Security Administration —–

The Transportation Security Administration provides daily travel numbers.

This data is as of November 20.

Click on the chart for a larger image.

This data shows the 7-day average of TSA’s total daily passenger productivity for 2019 (light blue), 2020 (black), 2021 (blue), and 2022 (red).

The The dashed line is the percentage for 2019 for an average of seven days.

The 7-day average is 2.6% lower than the same week in 2019 (97.4% of 2019). (Dashed line)

Air travel — as a percentage from 2019 — has been up lately.

—– Movie Tickets: Box Office Mojo —–

Box office movieThis data shows the average domestic box office per week for the years 2016 to 2019 (dashed light blue).

Black is 2020, blue is 2021, and red is 2022.

Data from BoxOfficeMojo through November 17th.

Note that the data is usually noisy from week to week and depends on when blockbuster movies are released.

Movie ticket sales were $255 million last week — almost because of Black Panther: Wakanda Forever — up about 21% from the week’s average.

—– Hotel Occupancy: STR —–

Hotel occupancy rateThis graph shows the seasonal pattern of hotel occupancy using average of four weeks.

Red streak is for 2022, black is 2020, blue is medium, and dashed light blue is for 2021. And dashed purple is 2019 (STR compares to a strong year for hotels).

This data is as of November 12. Occupancy increased by 0.9% compared to the same week in 2019.

The average 4-week occupancy rate is higher than the average rate for the past 20 years (blue) and close to 2019 levels.

Notes: The Y-axis does not start from zero to better show seasonal change.

—– Gasoline Saver: Energy Information Management —–

gasoline consumption

This graph, based on weekly data from the US Energy Information Administration (EIA), shows gasoline saved compared to Same week in 2019.

Blue for 2020, purple for 2021, and red for 2022.

As of November 11, the supply of gasoline was down 6.2% compared to the same week in 2019.

Gasoline supplies have recently been running below levels in 2019 and 2021 – and sometimes even lower than in 2020.

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