Insiders claim that the historic pledge to limit global warming to 1.5°C can be brought down completely

The historic pledge to limit global warming to 1.5°C (2.7°F) could be abandoned during talks in Egypt, according to people familiar with the negotiations.

It is expected to be issued tonight the first drafts of the agreement that will emerge from the meeting of the “27th policeman of the United Nations” in Sharm el-Sheikh, Egypt.

But the promise to not allow global warming by more than 1.5 degrees Celsius (2.7 degrees Fahrenheit) could be dropped, as China pushes for the wording to be dropped.

The historic pledge to limit global warming to 1.5°C (2.7°F) could be abandoned during talks in Egypt, according to people familiar with the negotiations.

CO2 emissions from coal, gas and oil on track to reach record levels in 2022

There are no indications that global carbon dioxide emissions will decrease this year, according to a new report.

We are currently emitting record levels of greenhouse gases, which must urgently be curbed if we are to limit warming to 2.7°F (1.5°C).

This limit was one of the goals of the Paris Agreement, and if our current emissions levels continue, there is a 50 percent chance that it will be exceeded within nine years.

These stark warnings come in the annual Global Carbon Budget Report, prepared by more than 100 international scientists.

It provides an in-depth summary of the amount of carbon dioxide emitted as a result of human activities, and predicts the total for the end of the year.

“This year we are seeing another rise in global fossil carbon dioxide emissions, when we need a rapid decline,” said Professor Pierre Friedlingstein, from the University of Exeter, who led the study.

Read more

COP – short for Conference of the Parties – is an annual effort to reach a global agreement to curb climate change, and is attended by about 45,000 delegates from 200 countries.

China, the world’s largest emitter of greenhouse gases by volume, is urging behind the scenes that countries target 2°C (3.6°F) as it requires less stringent restrictions on its industry.

The 1.5c limit emerged at the Paris climate talks in 2015, when it was agreed that countries should limit warming to less than 2°C (3.6°F), preferably 1.5°C (2.7°F).

US climate envoy John Kerry has conducted scantly lined excavations that China wants to scrap the cap.

On Friday, he blamed countries whose 2030 targets are not yet in line with the Paris temperature target, which has been interpreted as drilling into China.

Former Ireland President Mary Robinson told the Irish Times: ‘I was concerned that there seemed to be some sort of attempt to say 1.5°C (2.7°F) might no longer be possible. this is unacceptable.

Many scientists say 1.5°C (2.7°F) may be out of reach as the world’s nations have released so many greenhouse gases to make this possible, with the United Nations Environment Program predicting that the world may be on course to warm near to 2.8°C. (5 degrees Fahrenheit).

Alden Mayer, a long-time observer of UN climate meetings with environmental think-tank E3G, said if the G20 nations meeting in Bale could reaffirm their commitment to the 1.5°C (2.7°F) target, led by Presidents Joe Biden and Xi Jinping. That will enhance the goal.

But if it is not reconfirmed, the pledge will likely be dropped.

“What the two presidents decide in Bali will play right at the end of the game here in Sharm el-Sheikh,” Mayer said.

At climate talks in Glasgow last year, Cop chief Alok Sharma said the talks kept the chance of limiting global warming to 1.5 degrees Celsius (2.7 degrees Fahrenheit), saying the target was still alive, but had “a weak pulse”.

“Can I just remind all friends, that we at Cop26 have collectively decided to pursue efforts to limit the temperature increase to 1.5°C (2.7°F),” he said.

The Cop - short for Conference of the Parties - is an annual effort to reach a global agreement to curb climate change, attended by about 45,000 delegates from 200 countries.

The Cop – short for Conference of the Parties – is an annual effort to reach a global agreement to curb climate change, attended by about 45,000 delegates from 200 countries.

The report warns that humanity is “unequivocally facing a climate emergency”

A new report warns that carbon dioxide levels are reaching all-time highs as temperatures continue to rise, and Earth has officially reached “code red.”

In the report “Global Scientists Warn of a Climate Emergency 2022,” the researchers warned that humanity “unequivocally faces a climate emergency.”

They analyzed 35 biomarkers on the planet used to track climate change, including tree loss due to fires and extreme heat events, and found that 16 of these are at their most extreme.

Read more here

“We have to stick to that commitment,” he added. “We can’t allow any backsliding.

But we’re already at 1.1°C (1.98°F) global warming and I know I don’t have to remind you all of the effect of that around the world.

Even at 1.5°C (2.7°F), we’re still achieving devastating results for many millions. As our friend from Bangladesh mentioned, 1.5°C (2.7°F) should be a red line. And this can’t be COP as we lose 1.5°C (2.7°F).

“So, we have to fight for this and every bit of class definitely makes a difference.”

He added that the difference between 1.5 degrees Celsius (2.7 degrees Fahrenheit) and higher levels of warming is the difference “between a possible existence and an impossible future.”

And 2 degrees Celsius (3.6 degrees Fahrenheit) would be a “death sentence” for many countries around the world.

A reality check report released at COP27 last week showed that carbon dioxide emissions – which must fall by nearly 50 percent by 2030 to keep the 1.5°C (2.7°F) target in operation – from coal, gas and oil is on track to achieve Record levels in 2022.

The world’s 46 least developed countries, known in the United Nations as the least developed countries, have the most to lose from global warming exceeding 1.5°C (2.7°F), and they have been vocal in their defense.

“The 27th COP must send a strong political signal and show that the world is united in the fight against climate change,” said Madeleine Diouf Sarr, of Senegal, chair of the Caucus of Least Developed Countries.

“This means that at COP27 the 1.5°C (2.7°F) target must remain within reach with strong commitments to halve emissions by 2030,” she told the BBC.

Also at stake during the climate talks is a discussion of creating a fund that will pay for losses and damages to countries affected by climate change.

Informed sources said that developing countries may withdraw from the talks if the issue of losses and damages is not addressed in the draft text of the treaty.

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