After another chaotic week of mass employee departures and policy reversals, Twitter’s future looks increasingly uncertain, as users – and everyone else – increasingly ask one question: What would a world without the so-called Bird even be like?
With about 237 million daily visitors at last count in late June, Twitter’s user base is still smaller than Facebook’s nearly 2 billion, TikTok’s more than 1 billion and even Snapchat’s 363 million.
But in Twitter’s 15 years of existence, the platform has become the dominant communication channel for political and government leaders, businesses, brands, celebrities, and the news media.
Some, like New York entrepreneur Steve Cohn, are convinced that the Twitterverse is nothing more than an artificial microcosm of the real world, of limited actual significance.
Cohn declared that Twitter “isn’t ‘necessary’ in any way — from his own Twitter account. “The world works just fine without Twitter.”
Few people actually tweet, go on. “Almost all tweets come from (1%). Most regulars never log into Twitter.”
But for others, including Karen North, a professor at the University of Southern California’s Annenberg School for Communication and Journalism, the site is indispensable for bringing to light unknown conversations.
“Most of the time, those who are not of prominent standing are not heard,” she said. But on Twitter, “there is an opportunity to announce things.”
In situations of conflict, social movements, or repression, “I think Twitter has become the central platform for being able to disseminate the truth and the reality of the ground,” Charles Lister, a senior fellow at the Middle East Institute in Washington, told AFP.
Like most other social networks, Twitter is also used to spread propaganda and misinformation, and the company has developed moderation tools to try to curb the worst of it.
But its ability to keep up with the demands of such a mission has come into question after more than two-thirds of those teams have left since Elon Musk’s controversial takeover.
A 2018 study found that misinformation circulates faster than fact-checked posts.
“It’s an unrealistic expectation to imagine a platform where misinformation and disinformation are impossible,” Lister warned.
But “seeing information, good and bad, vanish” with the potential disappearance of Twitter, “by definition is bad,” Lister said.
“Authoritarian rulers and anyone who doesn’t want to share information widely would likely benefit from Twitter’s disappearance,” added Mark Haas, a professor at Arizona State University (ASU).
Experts say Twitter’s failure could have devastating effects on journalism.
“Twitter…isn’t really a social network,” North explained. “It’s a news and information network.”
“It’s the place, the primary hub where journalists go for general information, a story idea or a headline or a source or a quote,” she said.
With newsrooms shrinking manpower and budgets, the resources are not there, even in the most well-funded news operations, to “go find sources in the world,” North lamented.
She said Twitter is where a lot of this work can be done.
Another impact of a potential platform collapse, according to North, is that without Twitter, the world’s rich stars and powerful politicians will still be able to garner media attention, while those not in the spotlight will struggle to get noticed. .
“With Twitter, anyone can announce a story,” she said.
The site serves as a way to share information in real time.
“Twitter has been a vital source of information, networking, how-tos, real-time updates, community mutual aid, and more during hurricanes, wildfires, wars, outbreaks, terrorist attacks, mass shootings…etc,” University of Maryland researcher Caroline Tweeted. Ur.
“It’s not something that can be replaced by any existing platforms.”
At the moment, a potential Twitter workaround is not clear.
“Facebook is valuable, but I think it’s kind of old-fashioned,” Lester said.
Twitter’s smaller competitors are likely to pull users away, including Mastodon, which has grown in popularity since Musk bought Twitter.
“But it’s possible that these domains will still be relevant, as none of them will become the public domain that Twitter is trying to create,” said Haas of Arizona State University.
Both he and North listed Reddit as a potential alternative, though North said the forum-based network is limited by its fragmented, fragmented design that can’t replicate Twitter’s ease of use.
Could an alternative appear? “Of course,” Lister added, but noted that such ingenuity takes enormous resources and time.
“You can’t do that overnight.”